UPDATE: I could not have been more wrong…. Â
I’mÂ going on record with my election prediction early: The Republicans will retain majorityÂ control ofÂ both the House of Representatives and the Senate.Â Why do I say this?
Because even after days of salacious scandal, weeks of questionable polling, months of frothing hyperbolic editorials, and two solid years of “We are doomed in Iraq, We are doomed in Afghanistan, We are doomed in the War on Terror” everyone I know who is conservative to moderate is still planning on voting.
Â It’sÂ anecdotal evidence convincing only when coupled with other signs:
- You see Chris Matthews interviewing a movie director tonight, and in the interview they are already setting up the “election stolen by Diebold, no paper trail excuse”.
- You see polls that were yawning in favor of the democrats now mysteriously closing.
- You see the Republicans real campaign kicking into gear, and you seeÂ tightlipped, worried smiles of newscasters still trying to put across the illusion that theÂ democrats have it in the bag.
Yes, that’s right, it’s a repeat of the lastÂ two electionÂ cycles. The Dems start claimingÂ victory six months out. This time Nancy Pelosi started measuring the drapes of the Speaker’s office even before that.Â Â
The press, always a sucker for an underdog story jumps gleefully aboard and then theÂ roller coaster ride really takes off. LikeÂ the previous season’sÂ roller coasters, onceÂ they reach that giddy height at the top ofÂ their ebullient poll-puffed election dreams, the ride downhill starts and quickly picks up steam rushing them to oblivion again. I think if you start listening you will hear their frightened wailing start any day now.
In the end it boils down to this: we’ve got the dream, all they’ve got is the spleen.