Robotics are creeping into the battlefield - so far with “human in the loop” controls, but we are fast approaching the point where autonomous lethal decisions on the battlefield might need to be made by the equipment itself. (Ballistic Missile Defense and Counterbattery come to mind, indeed, the MK15 Phalanx could be considered an autonomous robotic defense system already.)
This opens a case full of cans of worms, and it was a subject of consideration at this year’s Artificial General Intelligence conference. As the electronic battlefield evolves, so too will the equipment used, and at some point the speed and accuracy of machines will find “human in the loop” to be an impediment. As we cross that barrier it behooves us to pay attention to conventions, as in the Geneva Convention, as well as rules of engagement, and how those form the programming and controls of battlefield robots.
This is one of those lightning fast presentations where they were trying to make up time at the conference, and much is left out. Please do pay attention however, every two sentences covers a few varied topics that could be papers, presentations, and whole fields of study in themselves. There’s a lot of food for thought here, so please pay close attention, and then go here to read the paper.
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Senior U.S. and Pakistani officials tell NBC News that Wednesday’s Predator attack on a village in northwest Pakistan was not insignificant, that a “high-value target … an Arab” was among those killed. U.S. officials believe the unnamed target was planning attacks outside Pakistan, “so we nailed him,” in the words of one.
By all accounts, on Wednesday evening, two male guesthouses in the village of Damodola were struck by Hellfire missiles fired from Predator drones. The drones are normally operated by the CIA. Inside the guesthouses were local fighters along with several “foreigners,” including the Arab fighter, according to the U.S. officials and locals.
Although the number of missiles fired remains uncertain, recent attacks have involved multiple volleys from multiple Predators. Predators now carry up to six Hellfires.
Initial reports had the dead at 12, but now they are as high as 30.
UPDATE: In other news of note, this will be a first if true, Manned Nato aircraft striking the Pakistan side of the Durand line per Pakistan Tribune:
Our Wana correspondent adds: Jet fighters flying from across the Pak-Afghan border violated Pakistan’s airspace in South Waziristan Agency Wednesday and dropped bombs in the area near the Durand Line.
Tribal sources said the jet fighters from the US-led Nato forces operating in Afghanistan intruded into Pakistan’s territory at Sra Khawra area near the border town of Angoor Adda and flew about three kilometres deep into South Waziristan Agency.
The planes reportedly dropped some bombs inside Pakistani territory but there were no details of losses. The same jet fighters also bombed targets on the Afghan side of the border. The government officials could not be reached to confirm the violation of Pakistan’s airspace by foreign planes.
Worthy of note however is how the Durand Line has been stretched in a few areas into Afghanistan the past few years. The craft could have been bombing the internationally recognized line, rather than the Wazir view of where the line is.
Update:
A bit more from The News (jang) where some of the casualties are named:
“All the bodies were split into pieces and scattered in the building,” he spoke to this correspondent by telephone after visiting the destroyed house. Tribal sources told The News that close friends of the Arab fighter were invited to the function and that was the reason that death toll was high as the guests were spending the night in the hujra when blitzed by Drones.
Maulvi Omar, militants’ spokesman belonging to Bajaur’s troubled Mohmand subdivision, called this correspondent and said 11 people were killed in the air strike. Among the dead, he said, five militants belonged to Bajaur.
Five others, he said, hailed from neighbouring Mohmand Agency, including Shah Wali, brother of militants’ central commander Abdul Wali code-named Omar Khalid while another Shahid belonged to Shabqadar in Charsadda district.
He said thousands of tribe people came from all parts of the agency and attended funeral prayers of victims of the air strikes. Maulvi Omar said no women or children were killed or injured in the attack.
Also note here that TTP Taliban Leader Nawab Khan was killed by his friends in Parachinar, the location of a lot of sectarian fighting the past few years.
Obama’s raising hell about Bush’s speech in Israel about trying to appease the terrorists. Bush just
told it like it is although he didn’t mention any names, Obama was the first to counter his words. This is like someone who although suspected but not directly accused jumps up saying “No I didn’t, it wasn’t me!”
If Obama thinks he can go head to head with the leaders of North Korea Iran and Venezuela and come out on top he’s living in a fantasy world. He doesn’t have a clue on how they conduct negotiations and they wrote the book on lying and disinformation. Anything they say or sign concerning a treaty is not worth the ink used in their signatures.
Although people like Obama are so naive to believe they have accomplished a genuine feat only to find out all they did was waste their time and effort. To add to this, they will still have faith that the other side will change and honor their commitments – which has never and will never happen unless threatened by force of arms. And people like Obama will not press the issue and instead will allow it to evaporate like the dew on the morning grass.
In another grim Islamist Terror group milestone, 902 muslims were killed in April, and another 1208 were maimed and injured. Indeed, since these numbers are compiled from news reports, some of the injured could have slipped into the death column after the news was reported, and many likely did.
The Islamists kidnapped and tortured some of these muslims, and the reports come from the following places:
Pakistan, Algeria, Somalia, Afghanistan, Iraq, Yemen, Gaza, The West Bank, Sudan, Lebanon, and the Kashmir. I’ve excluded incidents where non-muslims were killed, but the number of those deaths is less than a tenth of the number of muslims killed, tortured, and maimed.
Muslims at some point have to ask: if the terrorists are for the Umma, why are they killing so many of them? However that’s almost as silly as asking why a “holy warrior” would wear a mask… It’s evident that they seek temporal power, control, and wealth in the countries they are in, Islamism is good cover for their brutality since it is then supported by even some moderate muslims. After all how can moderates argue with Qutb and the Koran?
Compiled from reports at the Religion of Peace, The Daily Times, AP, and Reuters.
Above you see the book that extends the philosophy which drives many Islamist groups seeking temporal power: Milestones, by Sayid Qutb.
Since Mujahadin-e-Khalq has provided us intelligence on Iranian weapons initiatives, Quds force weapons smuggling, and Revolutionary Guards operations within Iraq there is a movement afoot to get them removed from the Terrorist organization lists in some countries. The intel they provided proved to be not only true over time, but invaluable in some cases. (background here, and here.)
They even have Daniel Pipes pulling for them - a heavy-weight proponent to be sure. I disagree with Daniel however.
Once a group adapts terror as a means to an end they can never be trusted again - if they show the willingness to let the ends justify the means once, they can, and likely will, again. Should we continue to accept intelligence from them? Surely. Just as I read El Ehklaas, so too must even terrorist sources of information be used.
That said, there is no redemption for terror groups. Fatah should never have been legitimized, and I don’t care if it’s convenient for political or strategic purposes - terror groups are terror groups. Accepting terrorism from any quarter allows our enemies moral footing, and that should never happen.
So, PKK, IRA, LTTE, MEK, Fatah — still terror groups in my book. If a group wishes to change, remove the leadership, rename, and repurpose with new manifesto that explicitly abjures all forms of terror without equvocation then maybe they could be considered. That’s not the case here.
Now that the entire world is talking about Nuclear energy, the perils of burning food, and energy needs it’s safe to move on to other topics, so I will let those lie awhile. It’s been a somewhat lonely couple of years leading into this however. (if you check past posts, pages etc. you will see where I’ve been predicting that we will need all the sources of energy we have in the short term gap. That includes even bio-fuels and coal which I’ve been picking on lately, research must continue at minimum — and short term we might need it for security.) Also see this article on energy sybsidies.
Some clarity comes from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), an independent federal agency that tried to quantify government spending on energy production in 2007. The agency reports that the total taxpayer bill was $16.6 billion in direct subsidies, tax breaks, loan guarantees and the like. That’s double in real dollars from eight years earlier, as you’d expect given all the money Congress is throwing at “renewables.” Even more subsidies are set to pass this year.
An even better way to tell the story is by how much taxpayer money is dispensed per unit of energy, so the costs are standardized. For electricity generation, the EIA concludes that solar energy is subsidized to the tune of $24.34 per megawatt hour, wind $23.37 and “clean coal” $29.81. By contrast, normal coal receives 44 cents, natural gas a mere quarter, hydroelectric about 67 cents and nuclear power $1.59.
I’m still not running ads, nor asking for donations and I expect that to continue at least until such time as I retire from my other job.
The sidebar might go wonky later this week, and the format might change while I fiddle with the theme and a few other things here, if it blows up too badly for you please drop a comment, I can’t test with fifteen types of browsers the way the pros like Charles Johnson do.
There’s yet another merger going on where I work, and I might get sucked into a black hole as technical structures get glued togetther and strategies are aligned. I will remain incommunicado on things technical for the duration just to ensure that I don’t spill the beans on anything from work accidentally. I don’t do too much of that anyway simply because I don’t want to feel like I’m pimping a company or technology to you.
The redbuds are all gone and the trees are leafed out here, and I”m into the mowing routine. I just finished the back but caught the front wheel in that planter again, bending the tie-rod. I beat it out once more with a hammer and all is well with the tractor. Mowing the lawn is getting a bit more expensive due to gas prices, so expect the neighborhood kids to start charging more if that’s how you get your lawn done.
It appears that Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan is either making raids cross border, or seeking alliances or arms judging by who was killed in a recent clash with Afghan and NATO forces in Afghanistan. From the Hindu News:
The dead Taliban belonged to the Wazir tribe and were members of a group led by Pakistani Taliban Mullah Nazir, who operates in the South Waziristan tribal region. Among the dead were Maulana Muhammad Iqbal, deputy chief of Mullah Nazir’s group, and Khan Mohammed Wazir, another key Taliban commander.
Three of the dead Taliban were aged between 15 and 20 years, local tribesmen said. The bodies were repatriated to Wana from Afghanistan’s eastern Paktika province early today, the Taliban sources said.
The skirmish in Paktika left 13 Taliban militants and eight NATO and Afghan troops, including a colonel, dead. Witnesses said the bodies of the Pakistani Taliban were badly burnt, making it difficult to identify them.
More on Taliban captured and killed this weekend here.
Even though I am atheist, I don’t have a problem with intelligent design, or the existence of G-D: both are distinct possibilities if you are talking about the origin of the universe, or of life itself. The issue isn’t with Intelligent design and belief in a creator as the movie “Expelled” poorly attempts to portray. Ir’s about their markedly political agenda to discredit evolution and to stop its teaching in science class.
When I said poorly above it’s because there is a certain amount of deceit in the movie. You have to wonder why they leave an interview with a Christian evolutionary biologist on the cutting room floor if the movie’s really about academic freedom?
You don’t have to disbelieve G-D to oppose the Discovery Institute and their aims. You don’t get special credit in heaven for supporting them either, because they are attacking truth as scientists know it today through deceit. As the good book says “Thou shalt not bear false witness against thy neighbor.”
While there certainly are rabid atheist secularists out there like Richard Dawkins, they are the exception, not the rule. Interviewing Dawkins on a subject such as this would be like interviewing Fred Phelps in a documentary about Christianity - you would be guaranteed some juicy bits, but would you really be portraying Christianity truthfully? I think not.
Forty percent of scientists believe in G-D in one form of religion or another. So why would the film attack atheism? Why would it attack science with the blood libel that they created the holocaust?
Those are not rhetorical questions: those are questions you need to ask yourself; and then you need to read the Wedge Document here which was leaked from the Discovery Institute. Before you accuse me of trusting wiki etc. be aware that the Institute, and the documents creators have admitted that it is real, however they do make serious attempts to downplay it, as noted here. (There are plenty of links at the bottom, citations, as well as a photocopy of the cover of the doc.)
The theory of evolution makes no claim to “knowing” how life started, or how the universe originated. How life and the universe began are hot topics of controversy within science, they are unsettled fields, and they are exciting fields. Religious scientists want to find truth every bit as much as the atheist and agnostics do, I would imagine they look upon it as discovery of G-D’s work.
So Ben sets up one strawman argument, and then rebutted himself. The other strawman shaken in our faces in the movie is the assumption that evolutionary theory is never challenged. This is somewhat over the top as it does get challenged regularly, not only by creationists, but also by scientists themselves. The debate over the details and mechanisms of evolution has raged across science for a long time, and it will continue to do so for it helps fuel new discoveries.
One of the strategies of the Discovery Institute is to attack and invalidate evolution by “teaching the controversy” - however when I studied evolution they were ahead of the DI. In other words my teachers did teach that there were gaps in fossil records and that there were controversies in Evolution. Teaching what we don’t know is an important part of science education. The unanswered questions are the exciting parts for scientists and for students after all.
In the end you have to wonder who is closer to G-D - a scientist who studies wonders such as this in daily awe at the universe, or a disingenuous PR flack for a neo-luddite political think-tank?
Other resources:
Expelled exposed - a site that exposes the deceit and flaws in the movie
Tonight just a picture. I know I”ve been slacking lately. There’s a few things going on at work, and besides it’s Spring and the puppy never tires of chasing her stick and playing “keep away” with me. (The neigbhors watch me sometimes panting raggedly as I chase a blurred streak with a stick in her mouth around the yard…) I’ve got a few articles I’m working queued up, more on the food and energy (primarily energy! Food is just fuel for humans…) crisis, the Fourth Fitna, or Islamic Civil War, and maybe some on Intelligent Design and the stalking horse “Academic Freedom” bills flying left and right.
Kasey is worn out at the moment and sleeping soundly.
Secretary of the Navy, Donald C. Winter announced on May 7 at a ceremony in Lake Ronkonkoma, N.Y., the name of the newest Arleigh Burke-class guided-missile destroyer will be USS Michael Murphy. Designated as DDG 112, the name honors Lt. Michael Murphy who was posthumously awarded the Medal of Honor for his heroic actions during Operation Red Wing, in Afghanistan on June 28, 2005.
“Michael Murphy’s name which will be forever synonymous with astonishing courage under fire will now be associated with one of the U.S. Navy’s most technologically advanced, most powerful and most capable warships,” Winter said.
Here’s to a friend of our country and a friend of all that is good in this world. Here’s to the strength of one of our best cut down on the battlefield fighting against insurmountable odds. Here’s to a man who though wounded and under fire still took the time to say “thank you” before hanging up his satellite-phone after calling for reinforcements against the 30-40 Taliban his four person team was fighting. Here’s to a man who showed mercy and died from it, without regret.
Lt. Michael Murphy, Navy Seal has just been awarded the Congressional Medal of Honor, the highest honor in this or any other land. Celebrate his life, his virtue, and his courage today, as will I.
Toy guns to be sure, but demonstrators carrying guns while wearing fatiques after the two campus massacres is a bit in poor taste, and I suspect these idiots are doing more to harm their cause than aid it. Stop by Zombietime to view the photos and see if you agree.
Hillary votes against funds for the troops in Iraq because she thinks they can’t win, yet loans her campaign millions in a race she can’t win.
The war against the insurgents is being won and her campaign is being lost. For someone who is so adamant to stay in a race she’s losing it seems that she would support her country in a war against terror. Her plan to pull the troops out of Iraq would bring chaos to the middle east and for her not to pull out of the race for the White House is bringing chaos to her party. She’s a one woman claymore sword, anyway she swings someone’s going to get hurt….
Watt’s up with this is still tracking sunspot activity, and as he’s been predicting there’s no joy in Gaeaville. The rest of the story is that with the cooling we will see from lack of sunspots our agricultural growing ranges in both Northern and Southern hemispheres will shrink this year. (previous warming cycles provided bumper crops in agricultural regions.) This will exacerbate the ongoing food inflation, and possibly lead to severe shortages in some regions.
Just a reminder that even if the Sun went out we might have hope with Nuclear energy.
UPDATE:More evidence that a 10-30 year cooling cycle is here.
The last, the very last,
So richly, brightly, dazzlingly yellow.
Perhaps if the sun’s tears would sing
against a white stone. . . .
Such, such a yellow
Is carried lightly ‘way up high.
It went away I’m sure because it wished to
kiss the world good-bye.
For seven weeks I’ve lived in here,
Penned up inside this ghetto.
But I have found what I love here.
The dandelions call to me
And the white chestnut branches in the court.
Only I never saw another butterfly.
That butterfly was the last one.
Butterflies don’t live in here,
in the ghetto.
Pavel Friedman 4.6.1942
This poem is preserved in typewritten copy on thin copy paper in the collection of poetry by the poet, which was donated to the State Jewish Museum during its documentation campaign. Pavel Freidmann was born on January 7, 1921, in Prague and deported to Terezin on April 26, 1942. He died in Aushchwitz on September 29, 1944.
It’s easy to accept convential wisdom and think that we are someway doomed, and in the current environment of over-regulated energy and the impacts to food production I can see why some folks go there. I refuse to because history demonstrates that humanity almost always figures a way to muddle through — that “almost” deserves some consideration, but I won’t dwell on it.
Jerry Pournelle is waxing a bit apocalyptic which is fair given current energy situation, political environment, and the wave of populist pseudo-science sweeping the nation. However as the survivalists of the ’80’s discovered scarcity only gets to pinch middle america so long before there’s a response. Jerry has re-opened discussion on burning food here, and here, both are worth reading.
Jerry’s making a lot of sense in his stance - e.g. if we can’t develop our own sources of energy due to political ennui, then ethanol in all of its ugliness is preferrable to sending our billions to tyrants. Even then Ethanol’s not enough, and we must continue to investigate Hydrogen and other means.
Worst come to worst, we have energy solutions - if the situation gets to the point where it starts affecting Little League and soccer, then it will get taken care of. We have plenty of inelegant, ugly sources of energy if we choose to use them. Coal use could be ramped up, coal gas could be ramped up, we could drill offshore. We could drill ANWR, we can go after oil shale, we can damn more rivers and creeks - the energy is available given the will and the want.
On the other hand we could remove some prohibitive regulation to build 80-100 new generation Nuclear reactors and plug this gap quickly, cheaply, and cleanly.
Whether it’s food or making our cars move, everything comes back to energy availability and given sufficient cheap energy all things are possible.
Part of the concern over liquid or gaseous fuels is conventional wisdom - it is how we move our vehicles now. However we really don’t need to burn anything to get our cars to move - we could electrify the major roadways and our cars if we had sufficient energy and zero gas or liquid fuel to burn.
Before you say that’s crazy, electrifying roadways and putting whips and electric meters on cars requires a lot less labor, capital, and infrastructure than paving the roads did during the 1940’s-1980’s. If we started doing it on a large scale backed by next generation reactors, then efficient ways to get it done would be discovered because that’s human nature. Our freight could transport on mag-lev rail, and ships would move to the proven technology of naval nuclear reactors.
The real challenge given zero combustable gases would clearly be aerospace, not ground or sea transport.
Meanwhile there is hope for improved cheap nuclear and enough to satisfy our needs. Huffpo gets math and assumptions egregiously wrong here, but note that McCain is backing nuclear energy.
The challenge this year and next is to get congress off their duff - they need to make it less prohibitive to build nuclear energy plants, they need to allow some more drilling as a stop-gap, they need to create a transcontinental high speed rail right-of-way with a power intertie and OC128 Fiber routes in it for kicks.
Solar and wind need more maturing before they replace the proven technologies, and we are about to hit the wall where fuel scarcity starts affecting middle class lifestyle in America in a big way. Meanwhile the strange bedfellow alliance of global warming activists, greenpeace anti-nuclear groups, ethanol lobbies, and coal lobbies continue to really drive energy policy in this country. You’ve seen the results so far of that dark cabal off collective political interests, it’s time to take your children’s future back from them.
Every May all of the Marxists get out and demonstrate or march. This spring was no exception, and like last year the theme was around Illegal immigration. The Socialists and Communists can’t find many willing supporters of revolution who are home grown US Citizens, so they look to imports for support. I’ve posted the great photo above from Ringo the Gringo because it’s a great combination of looming communism, and the nexus between Black and Latino Liberation Theology.
The marches were all much thinner than announced, and showed much less organization than the ‘06 marches which were obviously well-financed. With the rift in the Democrat party and the need for funds for both candidates, the socialists and communists are putting their money elsewhere - pick a candidate, and it’s not John McCain.
You will see everything from illegal immigrants who just want to be american to demonstrators who support terror organizations (FMLN, Fatah, Anarchists, Communists, some wannabe Direct Action /Black Bloc’ers, and some black and red alliance people.) These are definitely hate America first people.
In the pictures most of the posters are hand printed, and note that many of the professionally made posters and banners you do see are faded, spotted, or blotched in spots - signifying that they’ve been used multiple times already. No nicely printed signs with a nationwide central theme, distributed across the whole country as we’ve seen in the past. (2006 in particular) This points to the disunity in the kaleidescope of socialist, Aztlan, and Communist organizations as well as lack of funding. (Nationwide coordinated central themes takes unity as well as money.)
Here are some photjournalistic view of the demonstrations:
Ringo The Gringo (from whom I borrowed the great photo above - sorry mom, I know you like Barack…)
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