On April 1st I passed the two year mark, quietly unoticed by myself, or anyone else. It’s been a great deal of fun and driven a lot of soul searching, as well as many long hours of research (it’s never as easy as it looks.)
I’ve learned new things, I’ve eaten some crow when I was wrong on facts, and I’ve taken my share of slings and arrows. During all of that I’ve been consistently a lot more right than wrong as time played out, and through the long term views I take I hope to offer you a different look at current events.
Google news doesn’t want me and neither does Pajamas Media, but then I am not a consensus follower – I’ll never show up in Alexis, but I’m ok with that, and you should be too, after all the burgeoning crowd generally heads too far in the right direction through inertia and finds themselves sometimes at cliff’s edge.
Many of the things I originally meant to write about are still out there, over-run sometimes by the urgent, but those main themes are being developed over time. You can see some of them in the sidebar. My audience isn’t large, and I don’t intend it to be — what I do find is that mostly other bloggers come here. Some of them even borrow things, which is somewhat ok if you don’t steal my writing outright – the propagation of the ideas is much more important than credit to me.
So my goal is to influence rather than to drive populogue, I would rather make folks think than make them fear, froth, or fulminate. This online journal is about hope for the future and the changes coming, but it’s firmly reality-based. Omigosh… I sound almost like Obama… However you don’t have to vote for change: the future is going to happen and that always brings new change, that always brings new hope, and it brings it whether you want it or not, or whether you vote or not.
Through it all I think I’ve been consistent in philosophy, and hope that I’ve educated, entertained, and elightened my readers, as I still plan to still be here in my corner of the blogoverse in 20 years time.
Oh, that’s a real if rather dated picture of me, and yeah, that’s a semi-mullet, worn back at the time when only Brian Eno and a few other folks had one.
The problem in Europe with Muslim extremism is glaringly evident in this short (h/t The Scarlet Crusader). The policy needs to be intolerance towards extremists instead of shelter for extremists – it was shelter from France that created the problems in modern Iran we have today, it was shelter from Britain and the US for the blind Mullah that led to 9/11.
The moderates in Islam will have no voice and no shelter if we allow these rabid voices of hate to bully their way to becoming the voice of Islam in the West. Instead we should be sheltering the moderates from these evils. That’s why it’s important to out extremists who poise as moderates while reviling the west, that’s why it’s important to shelter the principles of freedom that are the basis for our societies, that’s why it’s important to deport the hate-mullahs and death clerics back to the countries who exported them once they became too radical.
Send them back to the countries that created them to foment hate, despair, and destruction there, not here – it will be a valuable lesson for the governments who allow this to fester so they have a weapon to use for destabilization of their neighors. (See the essay “Ancient Enemies” in the sidebar here.)
It’s an inconvenient truth that across the world valuable cropland is being converted from growing food to growing biofuel. The croplands are being converted with government subsidies, and we are about to learn a very harsh lesson.
Lester Brown, director of the Earth Policy Institute in Washington, said yesterday that land turned to biofuels in the US alone in the last two years would have fed nearly 250 million people with average grain needs. “This year 18% of all US grain production will go to biofuels. In the last two years the US has diverted 60m tonnes of food to fuel. On the heels of seven years of consumption of world grains exceeding supply, this has put a great strain on the world’s grain supplies,” he said.
The rising price of energy has decreased supplies of food in two ways: it’s made fuel crops more attractive and it’s made export and transport of food staples such as wheat, corn, and rice both more expensive and less appealing.
The outcome? We have breadlines in Egypt, we have spiraling food staples cost, and not enough food, which means people will be starving to death later this year. Yes, we passed a tipping point Al, and it was much closer and more easily seen than the one you spoke of in your movie.
Food production and commodities combined with free markets have kept famine at bay across most of the world since the early 80’s. The fact is that modern famines are created by government policies, or strife which interdicts transport. The Somalian famine was due to civil war against Islamists, and the Bangladesh famine was due to failed governance.
Any country can feed its people no matter how dense the population if they can farm at the level that 16th century Japanese peasants were capable of, this demonstrated in “A Step Further Out” by Jerry Pournelle. In the modern world with cheap transport and modern agriculture there’s simply no excuse for Famine, but I fear we’ve passed that point and that we will see some people starving to death this year.
Some future Chomsky will no doubt be writing screeds about Euro-centric Environmental Imperialism and Energy Hegemony, but in the end it’s exactly that sort of person who’s at fault here. Social liberals and computer models are a terrible combination, as the Club of Rome model tells us. (See here.)
In the end oil, coal, and food are foolish to burn, all create carcinogenic compounds that pollute the air — and if you have a ecological concern that should be it, not global warming. However our current eco-movements are headed down this exact path, with politicians hostage to the coal, oil, and bio-fuel lobbies worldwide.
We have the means to create plentiful, worldwide, cheap energy with Nuclear, Solar, Hydroelectric, Wind, Geothermal, Ocean thermal, and in the future Solar Power Satellites. The chest of options for really clean energy is full, but we fail to open it.
Our goal needs to be more than energy independence, if we are truly a great nation then we should set the bar higher – we must create abundant clean energy for the world.
All of the clean technologies are capable of generating electricity at a reasonable cost point which would surely come down if they were put into large-scale use, and all of them are feasible. With the exception of Solar power satellites, they have all been used for large scale electric generation. Also if you don’t think solar power satellites are feasible I will point you to the saga of Spirit and Opportunity, both live on past all expectations of gloom.
The future of the world is bright, but not if we follow charlatans and fear-monger lobbies who are really just after world socialism and wealth redistribution. We don’t need carbon credits, we need nuclear power. We don’t need carbon sequestration, we need hydrogen fuel research. We don’t need Kyoto, we need energy.
In the end Al Gore lied, and people will likely die. Don’t worry however: If famine does come, as appears likely, Al can sponsor a “Concert for X” (insert country name with hundreds of thousands dieing of starvation at X,) to make himself feel better about it.
[editor: Much more on energy potentials can be found online, and in the sidebar here under “Energetic Futures”. If you can find a copy of Jerry Pournelle’s book , I recommend you grab it. It’s a seminal work on the subject. Photo Credit Don McCullin, Contact Press]