Five Bosnian Terrorist suspects were arrested in Sarajevo and Bugojna for arms smuggling and terror planning by Muslim-Croat authorities. They are suspected to be in the Muslim group Vahabis, yet another bud on the the Muslim Brotherhood planted Takfirist tree of terror groups. (A Takfirist is someone who believes in establishing the caliphate & who grants themselves the right to attack other Muslims and Muslim states by declaring them “non-muslim” over whatever imagined slight they can come up with.)
Also in the Caucausus there was an ambush in Southern Chechnya, with mixed reports of casualties, total of 9 dead. There were also IED attacks on Russian APC’s to the North of that. Frontier Post
A teenage boy in Israel was injured near Hebron by a suspected IED, which are certainly unusual within the country. Authorities are investigating. This indicates to me that Israel needs to continue watching for skilled and trained terrorists returned from Iraq and Afghanistan – it raises the level of danger as the forces opposed to Israel are gaining veteran fighters who are much more effective.
Meanwhile Israel is on alert as the traditional 40 day mourning period end for Mougniyeh coincides with the end of Purim and several other religious holidays including Muslim and Christian.
Authorities have arrested five suspects in the mortar attack that hit a school near the US Embassey.
Somalian “pirates” have released a Russian Ship and crew after ransom was paid. The minister’s security caravan was attacked, and the US listed a Somalian group on the terror groups list.
South Asia (aka Subcontinent)
In Southern Thailand there have been two recent clashes between Police and Muslim separatists, Here and Here, Sunava Yako, a leader of the terror groups with a bounty was killed. In a grim milestone note the varied Muslim separatist groups have now pushed the number of deaths past the 3,000 mark since the insurgency re-ignited in 2004.
A suicide bomber attacked a shrine in Khandahar, killing one Afghanistan Policeman and injuring two others.
Five Pakistani soldiers were killed by a suicide car bomb at a paramilitary base near the border. The counter-insurgency war has taken a turn with Al Qaeda and Baitullah Mehsud’s Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan now focusing on the military and intel forces inside Pakistan.
There’s more on that here at Asia Times, where Syed re-gurgitates Taliban Agit-prop in this article. Like all agit-prop, there are some real facts woven into this that intel folks probably need to look at. Below is my analysis, like all analysis it’s opinion not fact.
The point is that AQ and the Taliban are infiltrated, but also the FIA, ISI, and other Pakistan agencies are also infiltrated as well. The recent Lahore bombings as well as the Italian Cafe bombing were targetted strikes according to the article. Also of interest is the supposed intent to refocus on the Khyber agency, and areas of Afghanistan where they have not operated much before. This could be two things: They’ve worn out their welcome where they are at, and/or the good guys are making things too hot for them there.
If this is real and not misdirection, I would look for three things: targetted assasinations to destabilize, kidnappings to gain funds and exert influence, and supply interdiction through the Khyber pass. This is the classic battle ground of the area – if the Mehsud/Wazir Taliban do attempt to move in then they will face some very tough sledding from the locals. Look for them to leverage the dislodged odd-lots of Kashmiri terror groups operating out of Dara Adam Khel region to spearhead.
Also there’s a great overview of the command center for missile strikes such as that against the Haqqani network from Phil Peterson, embedded in Afghanistan, and Matt Dupee at Long War Journal.
A purportedly new tape from Osama Bin Laden was aired on Al Jazeera, this one mentions Palestine-Israeli conflicts, and reports say it mentions more recent but not current events such as the Annapolis conference.
So I will resurrect Bin Laden once more if the voice prints match and if he actually references Annapolis by name, instead of just referring to “negotiations” generically. As we all know, negotiations have never really stopped except for brief periods and were ongoing back in 2006. Until I can see contents and context I’m not willing to pronounce him still alive yet.
There’s also a new study out on Pakistan Tribal Regions and their attitudes towards the Taliban and Al Qaeda, it’s on the recommended reading list as soon as I can find the full study.
The Cartoonist who was jailed for the Mohammed-cat cartoon has been freed, and that’s creating some unrest. The case was dropped because the person who originally complained about the cartoons repeatedly failed to show up for the hearings, so they couldn’t have been that offended, n’est ce pas?
Troops killed 30 Tamil tiger militants in Sri Lanka.
ETA has bombed a Police Barracks in Spain, causing only slight injuries.